Luis Severino
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hopes were high for Severino as he was another year removed from Tommy John surgery and he pitched very well in 2022, albeit only 89.1 innings after losing over two months with a lat injury. Things got off to an ominous start as he was felled by another lat injury in the spring. For the second time in a year, what was expected to be a quick recovery lingered, delaying Severino's 2023 debut until late May. He pitched well initially, but then things fell apart. On several occasions, Severino's starting role was in jeopardy, but the Yankees were forced to keep him in their injury-depleted rotation. His season mercifully ended in early September with a high-grade oblique strain. Severino's 6.65 ERA was pegged as unlucky by the associated 4.83 xFIP and 4.78 SIERA but the estimators are still well above league average. Severino's velocity was at his usual level, but his changeup wasn't nearly as effective, allowing batters to sit on, and crush his four-seam fastball. This seems correctable, but durability remains an issue. He signed with the Mets on a one-year, $13 million deal, which is about as good of a landing spot as fantasy managers could have hoped for. New York is a competitive team with a spacious home park and both he and the team will be highly incentivized to make this season a success. Read Past Outlooks
Builds up on back field Tuesday
Severino threw five innings and about 85 pitches in a minor-league game Tuesday, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander has avoided arm trouble this spring, and he says it's the first time he's felt fully healthy in camp since 2018. Severino allowed just one run on a solo shot over nine Grapefruit League innings with an 8:0 K:BB. Severino is on track to start the Mets' second game of the season, following Jose Quintana in the rotation, and while his ugly numbers for the Yankees last year give fantasy GMs plenty of reason to be nervous about rostering him, he has significant bounce-back potential -- the 30-year-old delivered a 3.18 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 27.7 percent strikeout rate against a 7.4 percent walk rate over 102 innings in 2022.
The right-hander has avoided arm trouble this spring, and he says it's the first time he's felt fully healthy in camp since 2018. Severino allowed just one run on a solo shot over nine Grapefruit League innings with an 8:0 K:BB. Severino is on track to start the Mets' second game of the season, following Jose Quintana in the rotation, and while his ugly numbers for the Yankees last year give fantasy GMs plenty of reason to be nervous about rostering him, he has significant bounce-back potential -- the 30-year-old delivered a 3.18 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 27.7 percent strikeout rate against a 7.4 percent walk rate over 102 innings in 2022.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .269 | 68 | 27 | 93 | 19 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .232 | 123 | 37 | 92 | 18 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .333 | 34 | 17 | 61 | 11 | |||
2023vs Right | .271 | 45 | 17 | 52 | 12 | |||
2022vs Left | .196 | 34 | 10 | 32 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .195 | 78 | 20 | 40 | 6 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-31%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.90 | 1.18 | 92.1 | 9.5 | 2.6 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.64 | 1.41 | 99.0 | 8.5 | 3.4 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 4.87 | 1.33 | 40.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Away | 8.14 | 1.91 | 48.2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | ||||
2022Home | 3.14 | 1.06 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.22 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.32K/9
8.0BB/9
3.4HR/9
2.3Fastball
96.5 mphERA
6.65WHIP
1.65BABIP
.342GB/FB
1.43Left On Base
64.5%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.8%Spin Rate
2202 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.3%Swinging Strike
9.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Severino See More
Even with a tough matchup against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park on Opening Day, Spencer Strider takes the top spot in the first Weekly Pitcher Rankings of the year.
Injuries and signings have caused plenty of shifts in our rankings over the last two weeks, with Elly De La Cruz jumping up six spots due to teammates missing time.
Brad Johnson concludes his deep dive into pitching staffs with the National League East, where in Atlanta, Spencer Strider is at the top of his game.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino experienced arm soreness so the Yankees initially took it easy on the Tommy John recoveree, but it wasn't long before Severino was up to speed. He posted a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 95 punchouts in 86 innings through July 13, but then a lat injury sent Severino to the 60-day IL. He returned for three starts in September, registering a 1.69 ERA and .63 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 16 frames. Including rehab and playoffs, Severino logged 123.1 innings, so he shouldn't be under too much of a restriction, likely nothing more than a few maintenance days. Severino's 27.7% strikeout rate was lower than pre-TJS while his 7.4% walk rate was a little high, as was his home run rate. His 96.3-mph fastball was down a tick, but when he came back in September, Severino was throwing 97-98 mph. There is risk, but Severino can post SP1 numbers, albeit with fewer innings, drafted much later than the staff anchors.
More Fantasy News
Sharp again Wednesday
Severino allowed one run on two hits over four innings in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Astros. He struck out three without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Flashes velo to begin spring
Severino struck out one over two scoreless innings in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Looks ready for spring
Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns implied Monday that Severino (oblique) is fully healthy ahead of spring training, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to Mets on one-year pact
Severino (oblique) agreed to a one-year, $13 million contract with the Mets on Wednesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resumes throwing
Severino (oblique) has progressed to throwing in his rehab process and is feeling good, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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