Casey Mize
27-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
1-3
ERA
4.70
WHIP
1.49
K
38
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
When healthy, Mize has looked like a solid MLB pitcher. However, an elbow injury cut his 2022 campaign short after only two starts, and then he missed all of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery. Back in 2021, Mize posted a 3.71 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 118 strikeouts across 150.1 innings in his first full season as starter for Detroit. The 26-year-old should have a rotation spot locked up heading into 2024, though the Tigers will undoubtedly limit his workload, and it's fair to expect some rust. Mize was drafted first overall back in 2018, so the talent is certainly there, and fantasy managers will be keeping a watchful eye on how he looks early in the season. However, the best bet for now is to temper expectations and probably not count on Mize for consistent production right away. He's still only made 39 starts at the MLB level, so even if he wasn't returning from a major surgery, the young righty would probably be a volatile option anyways. Read Past Outlooks
Labors through four
Mize did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing three runs (two earned) on five hits and four walks over four innings against the Red Sox. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Mize allowed solo runs in each of the first three innings, needing 82 pitches to escape four innings. It was a struggle throughout much of the outing for Mize, who allowed nine batters to reach base. After posting seven-consecutive starts of at least five innings including four quality starts, Mize has failed to finish the fifth in any of his last three starts, allowing at least nine baserunners in each. He'll carry a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP into his next start, likely to take place next weekend when the Tigers play host to the Brewers.
Mize allowed solo runs in each of the first three innings, needing 82 pitches to escape four innings. It was a struggle throughout much of the outing for Mize, who allowed nine batters to reach base. After posting seven-consecutive starts of at least five innings including four quality starts, Mize has failed to finish the fifth in any of his last three starts, allowing at least nine baserunners in each. He'll carry a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP into his next start, likely to take place next weekend when the Tigers play host to the Brewers.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-43%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-39%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .207 | 20 | 14 | 25 | 4 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .364 | 22 | 4 | 52 | 3 | |||
2024vs Left | .217 | 19 | 12 | 23 | 3 | |||
2024vs Right | .357 | 19 | 4 | 41 | 3 | |||
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Left | .133 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
2022vs Right | .393 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-32%
ERA at Home
2024
-47%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.90 | 1.18 | 32.1 | 5.0 | 1.4 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.74 | 1.82 | 31.1 | 6.9 | 3.7 | ||||
2024Home | 3.29 | 1.13 | 27.1 | 5.3 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Away | 6.15 | 1.86 | 26.1 | 7.5 | 3.8 | ||||
2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Home | 7.20 | 1.40 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | ||||
2022Away | 3.60 | 1.60 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 3.6 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.38K/9
6.4BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.5 mphERA
4.70WHIP
1.49BABIP
.339GB/FB
1.59Left On Base
69.8%Exit Velocity
83.7 mphBarrels/BBE
4.4%Spin Rate
2045 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.1%Swinging Strike
9.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Casey Mize See More
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rain won't spoil 2024 debut?
Mize may be able to make his season debut against the Mets as scheduled Tuesday, as Mets officials expect there to be a window to play despite ongoing inclement weather, reports Anthony DiComo of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Mize will be making his first appearance in the big leagues since 2022 after he spent last season rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. New York is getting a fair amount of rain Tuesday, so there's a chance the 26-year-old's 2024 debut will be pushed back, though it appears they'll attempt to get the game in.
Mize will be making his first appearance in the big leagues since 2022 after he spent last season rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. New York is getting a fair amount of rain Tuesday, so there's a chance the 26-year-old's 2024 debut will be pushed back, though it appears they'll attempt to get the game in.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
After a promising 2021 campaign, Mize seemed primed for big things in 2022, but he only made two starts before getting shut down due to an elbow injury. He underwent Tommy John surgery in June and now seems likely to miss most if not all of 2023. It's a big blow for the Tigers, who drafted Mize first overall in 2018. His MLB debut season in 2020 wasn't great, as he posted 6.99 ERA and 1.48 WHIP across 28.1 innings. However, given a longer look in 2021, Mize pitched much better. He tallied a 3.71 ERA and 1.14 WHIP across 150.1 innings, though his 7.06 K/9 and 4.71 FIP suggested he wasn't overly dominant. Still, it was a good campaign overall, and given Mize's prospect pedigree, it's fair to think that he has another level yet to reach. That will just have to wait until 2024 and beyond, so fantasy managers can ignore Mize in standard leagues, though he still has plenty of upside in keeper and dynasty formats.
More Fantasy News
Mediocre in no-decision
Mize did not factor into the decision Sunday against Toronto, allowing three earned runs on eight hits and two walks in 4.1 innings. He did not strike out a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Gets shelled Tuesday
Mize (1-3) allowed six runs on nine hits across 1.2 innings to take the loss Tuesday against the Royals. He had no walks and struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Miami
Mize (1-2) took the loss Wednesday against the Marlins, allowing two runs on two hits and one walk over six innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Logs quality start
Mize did not factor into the decision Friday against the Astros, allowing one run on five hits and two walks over six innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged with loss Saturday
Mize (1-1) took the loss Saturday against the Yankees, coughing up five runs on nine hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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