Aaron Civale
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
2-5
ERA
5.51
WHIP
1.36
K
68
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
Rocked by O's
Civale (2-5) took the loss Friday, giving up four runs on seven hits and a walk over five innings as the Rays fell 6-3 to the Orioles. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander got taken deep by Anthony Santander in the second inning and Ryan Mountcastle in the fifth, just the second time this season Civale has served up multiple homers. The eight strikeouts did tie his season high, helping to salvage some fantasy value, but he's gone 10 straight starts without recording a win, going 0-4 over that stretch with a 6.66 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 50:15 K:BB through 50 innings. Civale will try to get back in the win column in his next outing, which is scheduled to come at home next week against the Cubs.
The right-hander got taken deep by Anthony Santander in the second inning and Ryan Mountcastle in the fifth, just the second time this season Civale has served up multiple homers. The eight strikeouts did tie his season high, helping to salvage some fantasy value, but he's gone 10 straight starts without recording a win, going 0-4 over that stretch with a 6.66 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 50:15 K:BB through 50 innings. Civale will try to get back in the win column in his next outing, which is scheduled to come at home next week against the Cubs.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .246 | 154 | 38 | 128 | 19 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .250 | 128 | 36 | 146 | 20 | |||
2024vs Left | .280 | 36 | 9 | 33 | 6 | |||
2024vs Right | .262 | 32 | 10 | 39 | 7 | |||
2023vs Left | .234 | 66 | 16 | 55 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .237 | 50 | 17 | 54 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .240 | 52 | 13 | 40 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .257 | 46 | 9 | 53 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-4%
ERA at Home
2024
-24%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.35 | 1.13 | 144.2 | 9.9 | 2.1 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.51 | 1.31 | 141.2 | 7.8 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Home | 4.82 | 1.15 | 37.1 | 10.6 | 1.9 | ||||
2024Away | 6.37 | 1.62 | 29.2 | 7.3 | 3.3 | ||||
2023Home | 4.48 | 1.16 | 62.1 | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 2.40 | 1.17 | 60.0 | 7.5 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.80 | 1.07 | 45.0 | 9.8 | 1.8 | ||||
2022Away | 5.88 | 1.29 | 52.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.58K/9
9.1BB/9
2.6HR/9
1.7Fastball
92.3 mphERA
5.51WHIP
1.36BABIP
.328GB/FB
0.89Left On Base
65.9%Exit Velocity
82.5 mphBarrels/BBE
5.0%Spin Rate
2660 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.6%Swinging Strike
9.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Looking like trade chip
Civale is a candidate to be traded, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Morosi notes that Shane Bieber is likely to stay put now that he's on the 15-day injured list with a right elbow injury, but the Guardians could still look to move a starting pitcher. Civale is an option to be on the block if the club is looking to sell high, as the righty boasts a 2.65 ERA in 10 starts.
Morosi notes that Shane Bieber is likely to stay put now that he's on the 15-day injured list with a right elbow injury, but the Guardians could still look to move a starting pitcher. Civale is an option to be on the block if the club is looking to sell high, as the righty boasts a 2.65 ERA in 10 starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.
More Fantasy News
Better vs. Orioles
Civale didn't factor into the decision Friday against Baltimore, allowing one run on six hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Allows two runs Saturday
Civale allowed two runs on four hits and a walk while striking out five over five innings in a no-decision versus the Royals on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes another loss
Civale (2-4) took the loss Sunday against the Blue Jays, allowing five runs (four earned) on six hits and four walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Fans six in no-decision
Civale came away with a no-decision in Tuesday's 5-4 extra-innings loss to the Red Sox, giving up three runs on five hits over five innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Pulled in fifth frame again
Civale (2-3) took the loss against the White Sox on Wednesday, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four batters over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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